It appears that while Michael Flaherty and Sam Yoon have made the mayoral race here in Boston interesting, Thomas Menino, who has been Mayor for 16 years, will win again. This is according to polls out over the weekend. The debate tonight between Menino and Flaherty should be the final deciding factor. As far as City Council goes, there are a number of interesting folks running – most of them young. Hard to predict the 4 at-large winners.
Jon Corzine is likely to get reelected in New Jersey. But the Democratic candidate in Virginia, Creigh Deeds, is likely to lose despite the Washington Post endorsement. His opponent is Bob McDonnell is what I would call a right-wing religious nutcase who has written about a woman’s place.
If you live in Virginia and you’re planning to vote for governor in November, if you happen to be between ages 18 and 44 and you also just happen to be a woman, gubernatorial candidate R. Creigh Deeds has something he’d like to talk to you about.
It has to do with a certain graduate school thesis written by Deeds’s opponent, Robert F. McDonnell, in 1989. McDonnell wrote about how to use public policy to strengthen the traditional family and said that working women and feminism were “detrimental” to the family.
While this provided a surge for Deeds in September, it doesn’t look as if the surge is holding. Of course, I know from having lived in Virginia working state government is like being on a roller coaster: Democratic governors seems to care for state workers (and for Virginians who need their services) while Republicans do not. And the Virginia electorate seems to need periodic reminders about how bad governors like George Allen are for the Commonwealth.
But the most interesting election news is the Pew Research Center poll about Obama. A few days ago, Paul Krugman had an interesting post about the midterm (2010) elections. I think most experts believe that the Democrats will lose some seats, but not control of either the House or Senate.
Lots of buzz about the possibility that 2010 will be another 1994, with the triumphant conservative majority sweeping back into its rightful place of power. And of course, anything is possible.
But the signs really don’t point to that.
You can obsess, if you like, about the generic Congressional ballot — but historical patterns suggest that this ballot is meaningless at this early date.
If we look at Obama’s personal position, it seems to have stabilized — and as the Pew people point out, he’s in relatively good shape:
Pew Research Center
And there’s one more thing which I think matters: Republicans don’t have anything positive to sell.
I think the Republicans are being too optimistic and the Democrats a little gun shy. The Democrats should move on, pass health care reform with a public option and give people a meaningful reason to vote for them.
Regardless of who Chris Daggett hurts, Daggett is not a spoiler and he can win.
Daggett has broken 20 percent and can win. The Washington Post says at 20% there is a path for Daggett to win and political analysts say with 25% in the polls Daggett can win.
Now its a matter of getting that last 100,000 votes to get Daggett in a position to win.
To do that we are reaching out to voters that want to Vote for Daggett but are afraid a vote for Daggett is a wasted vote. So…
The I’ll vote for Daggett Pledge:
“I want to vote for Chris Daggett, but only if he has a real chance of winning. He needs pledges from 100,000 people like me. I don’t want to wait til Election Day to find out that those votes existed, but we were all afraid to cast them. So, I’m signing my name below, with my address to prove that I’m real, and pledging that if 100,000 people like me sign up, I will vote for Daggett.”
Take the I’ll Vote For Daggett Pledge Here
Spread the word about this pledge, so we can bring an end to politics as usual.
In 1968 I was so opposed to the War in Vietman that I voted for Benjamin Spock for President instead of Hubert Humphrey. It is a vote I have regretted ever since. A bit of advice. If you live in NJ, vote for Corzine. Don’t take votes from him.